The status of heuristics and cognitive biases as a source of diagnostic errors.

Jain, Bimal P.,M.D. BJAIN at PARTNERS.ORG
Tue Nov 7 11:48:22 UTC 2017


In this attached paper, I point out that heuristics and biases are a source of inferential errors only in a setting in which the normatively correct method of reasoning is probabilistic.
I argue that the notion of heuristics and biases as a source of diagnostic errors may not be relevant in diagnosis  which  is not probabilistic in practice as I point out in this paper.
I suggest the main sources of diagnostic errors are lack of knowledge and/or experience.
Please review and comment on this paper.
Thanks.

Bimal

Bimal P Jain MD
Northshore Medical Center
Lynn MA 01904.


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